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Home Insights Financial & Economic Analysis — June 2026
Monthly Briefing

Financial & Economic Analysis — June 2026

Aaron Russell-Davison Editor · Managing Director, SRP International
Prepared by·SRP Research Designed by·SRP Studio Editor·Aaron Russell-Davison — Managing Director, SRP International Period·June 2026

Executive Summary

Equity Markets

The Colombo Stock Exchange recorded a mixed performance in June 2026 amid renewed market volatility. The All Share Price Index declined marginally by approximately 0.21% MoM to close at 22,263.28, while the S&P SL20 increased by around 0.75% MoM to end at 6,205.05.

Inflation

Inflationary pressures intensified in June, with CCPI headline inflation accelerating to 6.8% YoY from 5.5% YoY in May. This increase was driven by both food and non-food segments, with food inflation rising to 3.6% YoY compared with 0.9% YoY in the previous month, while non-food inflation increased to 8.4% YoY from 7.8% YoY. The ongoing impact of energy-related costs, transport expenses, and global commodity prices were all contributing factors. With geopolitical uncertainties and persistent energy market volatility, inflation is expected to remain a concern in the near term.

Exchange Rates

The Sri Lankan rupee remained under pressure in June, with the USD/LKR exchange rate weakening by approximately 3.0% MoM to close near LKR 336.66/USD, compared with around LKR 327.82/USD at the end of May. The continued depreciation was due to higher contracted energy purchases, increased import-related foreign exchange demand, lower tourist arrivals and the broader strengthening of the US dollar.

Crude Oil Prices

Crude oil prices remained a key consideration in June, with prices declining significantly towards the end of the month. Brent crude declined by approximately 20% MoM to trade near USD 73/bbl, compared with around USD 91/bbl at the end of May. Despite the monthly decline, markets remained sensitive to Middle Eastern geopolitical tensions.

Tourist Arrivals

Tourist arrivals moderated in June 2026, with Sri Lanka recording 124,551 arrivals during the month, representing a decline of approximately 9.9% YoY compared with 138,241 arrivals in June 2025. Cumulative tourist arrivals for January–June 2026 reached 1,146,573, compared with 1,168,044 during the same period in 2025, a marginal decline of approximately 1.8% YoY. India remained the leading source market, followed by the United Kingdom, Australia, and China.

Market Statistics

Month EndingJune-2026May-2026Change (%)
All Share Price Index22,263.2822,310.80-0.21%
S&P 20 Index6,205.056,159.150.75%
Consumer Services (Hotels)550.52558.47-1.42%
Real Estates3,642.563,642.81-0.01%
Capital Goods (Industrial)2,362.972,365.32-0.10%
Food Bev & Tob (Plantations and Other)2,371.012,421.62-2.09%
Materials3,110.573,106.450.13%
Banks1,764.151,757.770.36%
Telecommunication Services3,643.003,386.267.58%
Market Capitalisation (SLRs. Bn)8,063.728,115.76-0.64%

International Markets

MarketJune-2026May-2026Change (%)
STI Index (Singapore)5,170.655,037.862.64%
DAX (Germany)24,995.8125,104.70-0.43%
Nikkei (Japan)70,062.3266,329.505.63%
FTSE 100 (UK)10,497.1210,409.280.84%
Dow Industrial (US)52,319.2051,032.462.52%

Exchange Rates

CurrencyJune-2026May-2026Change (%)
Euro383.90381.780.55%
SNG$260.23256.811.33%
AUD231.19234.59-1.45%
GBP445.61440.621.13%
US$336.66327.822.70%

Quoted as LKR per unit of foreign currency; a higher figure indicates depreciation of the rupee.

Commodity Prices

CommodityJune-2026May-2026April-2026
Brent Crude $/bbl72.7591.17110.20
Gold $/Troy oz4,005.604,541.304,621.20
Tea $/Kg2.973.022.83
Rubber, TSR20 $/Kg2.252.212.06

Interest Rates

Rate typeJune-2026May-2026Change (%)
AWPR10.399.904.95%
AWDR—6.95—
Treasury Bill Yield
3 Months9.498.847.35%
6 Months9.628.977.25%
12 Months9.719.185.77%
Treasury Bond Yield
5 Years10.9210.771.39%
10 Years11.7411.630.95%

AWDR = Commercial Bank Average Weighted Deposit Rate. AWPR = Commercial Bank Average Weighted Prime Lending Rate.

Inflation (Headline)

InflationJune-2026May-2026Change (%)
Colombo Consumer Price Index (CCPI)6.805.5023.64%

Daily Indices

DayASPIS&P SL 20
Jun 1, 202622,256.266,150.20
Jun 2, 202622,198.126,130.65
Jun 3, 202622,011.106,097.83
Jun 4, 202621,760.316,031.73
Jun 5, 202621,752.986,024.00
Jun 8, 202621,439.585,968.42
Jun 9, 202621,569.406,000.68
Jun 10, 202621,461.635,985.42
Jun 11, 202621,286.145,935.28
Jun 12, 202621,642.956,027.05
Jun 15, 202622,394.646,219.53
Jun 16, 202622,396.676,221.32
Jun 17, 202622,401.096,210.72
Jun 18, 202622,436.146,226.78
Jun 19, 202622,352.596,215.30
Jun 22, 202622,253.526,195.71
Jun 23, 202622,266.566,193.65
Jun 24, 202622,218.166,181.65
Jun 25, 202622,425.616,242.75
Jun 26, 202622,409.816,247.42
Jun 30, 202622,263.286,205.05

Volume & Turnover

DayTurnoverVolume
Jun 1, 20261,668,975,721.0071,016,362.00
Jun 2, 20262,018,943,679.4082,009,038.00
Jun 3, 20262,051,299,970.25109,875,116.00
Jun 4, 20262,787,516,736.35123,167,815.00
Jun 5, 20262,976,434,971.15112,648,190.00
Jun 8, 20262,613,344,246.6588,149,869.00
Jun 9, 20262,164,938,035.1573,032,332.00
Jun 10, 20261,666,274,227.6569,179,328.00
Jun 11, 20261,664,194,776.5586,385,553.00
Jun 12, 20261,992,301,809.0583,779,403.00
Jun 15, 20264,003,826,532.10205,580,284.00
Jun 16, 20263,854,250,127.80152,552,605.00
Jun 17, 20262,557,419,010.75107,033,735.00
Jun 18, 20263,122,344,778.25103,928,334.00
Jun 19, 20261,878,916,836.5575,782,109.00
Jun 22, 20261,183,378,308.8544,279,808.00
Jun 23, 20261,563,173,407.1065,131,764.00
Jun 24, 20261,195,101,753.5048,447,080.00
Jun 25, 20262,729,933,018.0567,790,333.00
Jun 26, 20261,911,319,319.4063,899,666.00
Jun 30, 20261,756,661,805.2059,994,922.00

Tea Auction Prices (USD)

Month20262025202420232022202120202019
Jan2.732.782.662.772.862.682.512.54
Feb2.702.692.712.702.792.562.362.38
Mar2.692.692.692.692.612.432.132.38
April2.832.913.032.963.242.672.362.65
May3.023.023.202.712.992.712.512.73
June2.972.993.222.692.962.702.842.56
July3.023.302.473.312.653.042.58
Aug3.043.222.833.372.723.152.63
Sep2.943.272.853.332.733.082.54
Oct3.013.152.763.152.783.002.58
Nov2.993.092.743.052.832.782.61
Dec2.882.962.712.952.822.652.57

Tourist Arrivals

Tourist Arrivals2026202520242023202220212020
January277,327252,761208,253102,54582,3271,682228,434
February279,328240,217218,350107,63996,5073,366207,507
March183,979229,298209,181125,495106,5004,58171,370
April135,643174,608148,867105,49862,9804,1680
May145,745132,919112,12883,30930,2071,4970
June124,551138,241113,470100,38832,8561,6140
July200,244187,810143,03947,2932,4290
August198,235164,609136,40537,7605,0400
September158,971122,140111,93829,80213,5470
October165,193135,907109,19942,02622,7710
November212,906184,158151,49659,75944,2940
December258,928248,592210,35291,96189,506393

India remained the leading source market in June 2026, followed by the United Kingdom, Australia, and China.

Primary Deposit & Lending Rates

Period (Year Month)AWDRAWPR
Jun 2026—10.39
May 20266.959.90
Apr 20266.869.57
Mar 20266.839.28
Feb 20266.839.35
Jan 20266.818.88
Dec 20256.789.07
Nov 20256.778.64
Oct 20256.798.31
Sep 20256.808.10
Aug 20256.827.97
Jul 20256.888.07

CCPI Year on Year (%)

Month (Year Month)HeadlineFoodNon Food
Jun 20266.803.608.40
May 20265.500.907.80
Apr 20265.402.806.80
Mar 20262.200.702.90
Feb 20261.600.202.30
Jan 20262.303.301.80
Dec 20252.103.001.80
Nov 20252.103.001.70
Oct 20252.103.501.40
Sep 20251.502.900.70
Aug 20251.202.000.80
Jul 2025-0.301.50-1.20
Jun 2025-0.604.30-2.80

External Sector

Values are in USD million.

Month (Year Month)Official ReservesWorkers' RemittancesEarnings from Tourism
May 20266,881.00847.00155.70
Apr 20266,766.00767.90157.10
Mar 20267,026.00814.80223.70
Feb 20267,270.00729.00352.00
Jan 20266,832.00751.10378.30
Dec 20256,825.00879.10308.60
Nov 20256,034.00673.40251.60
Oct 20256,216.00712.00186.10
Sep 20256,244.00695.70182.90
Aug 20256,178.00680.80258.90
Jul 20256,147.00697.30318.50
Jun 20256,081.00635.70169.50
May 20256,286.00641.70164.10
Month (Year Month)ExportsImportsFuel ImportsImport (Non Fuel)
May 20261,224.302,192.10536.001,656.10
Apr 20261,074.102,456.70886.201,570.50
Mar 20261,254.302,134.10630.101,504.00
Feb 20261,057.801,833.80398.001,435.80
Jan 20261,148.701,803.30253.501,549.80
Dec 20251,158.002,155.20390.101,765.10
Nov 20251,047.801,778.50333.301,445.20
Oct 20251,149.402,156.80357.801,799.00
Sep 20251,138.502,048.60440.701,607.90
Aug 20251,282.301,696.50255.201,441.30
Jul 20251,302.201,882.20269.701,612.50
Jun 20251,141.801,682.10331.501,350.60

This briefing is prepared by SRP Research for general information only and does not constitute financial, investment, or tax advice. Figures are reproduced from the SRP International Financial & Economic Analysis for June 2026 (external-sector figures to May 2026) and are subject to revision.

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